The NFL’s most anticipated game of the year is upon us Sunday night when the Patriots visit the Colts in what could well be an AFC Championship Game preview. However, the Colts have had the upper hand on the Pats of late, winning four of the past five in this rivalry.
This will be first meeting between the two clubs for new Indianapolis head coach Jim Caldwell and the fourth straight trip to Indianapolis for the Patriots. It’s the 18th time Peyton Manning faces New England and the 10th meeting against Indy for Tom Brady, who missed last year’s Colts win. The TV networks love this matchup, as it’s the seventh prime-time meeting (regular season and playoffs) between the two since 2003. Indianapolis has won 17 consecutive regular-season games and could threaten New England’s record of 21 in a row if the Colts win Sunday.
Brady has passed for at least 300 yards in the past three games, and he could have a huge night against a banged-up Indy defense missing several starters, none more important than safety Bob Sanders. New England has won 14 straight and is 25-2 all-time when Brady throws for 300 yards or more. Brady has never lost a regular-season matchup with Manning in Indianapolis (3-0 record).
The Colts were fortunate to escape Houston’s upset bid last week, as the Texans missed a very makeable field goal as time expired that would have sent the game into OT. New England beat Miami 27-17 last week.
With so many guys hurt, Indy needs defensive end Dwight Freeney to be at his best, and he has been. Freeney has recorded sacks in nine straight games, one short of the NFL record. He will lineup against a rookie tackle this week in Sebastian Vollmer, as starter Matt Light is likely out again. However, Vollmer has played very well since Light went out in Week 5.
The red zone has been a problem for New England this year. With 15 touchdowns in 34 trips into the red zone, the Pats are one of the worst red zone teams in the league, too often settling for field goals.
Indianapolis has allowed just 12 points off turnovers in 2009 — fewest in football. The Patriots are almost as good, allowing 17 points off turnovers this season (4th in the NFL).
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Indianapolis -3 (Colts are -135 on the money line); over/under: 49.5
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59 percent on the Patriots
INJURY REPORT
PATRIOTS: OUT: DE Jarvis Green (knee), WR Brandon Tate (knee), RB Fred Taylor (ankle). DOUBTFUL: T Matt Light (knee). QUESTIONABLE: LB Eric Alexander (groin), TE Chris Baker (shoulder), LB Tully Banta-Cain (groin), DT Ron Brace (ankle), WR Julian Edelman (forearm), C Dan Koppen (knee), S Brandon Meriweather (foot), RB Sammy Morris (knee), S James Sanders (groin), DT Ty Warren (ankle). PROBABLE: QB Tom Brady (right shoulder), CB Shawn Springs (knee), TE Benjamin Watson (back). COLTS: OUT: WR Anthony Gonzalez (knee), CB Kelvin Hayden (knee), K Adam Vinatieri (right knee). QUESTIONABLE: QB Jim Sorgi (right shoulder).
TEAM RANKINGS
PATRIOTS OFFENSE — OVERALL (2), RUSH (16), PASS (2)
PATRIOTS DEFENSE — OVERALL (7), RUSH (20), PASS (4)
COLTS OFFENSE — OVERALL (4), RUSH (29), PASS (1)
COLTS DEFENSE — OVERALL (8), RUSH (14), PASS (9)
TRENDS
* Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
* Patriots are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
* Patriots are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
* Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
* Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
* Patriots are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Patriots are 37-17-1 ATS in their last 55 road games.
* Patriots are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
* Patriots are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
* Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
* Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
* Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
* Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Colts are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
* Colts are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
* Colts are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Colts are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
* Colts are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Colts are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
* Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
* Colts are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
* Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Indianapolis.
* Underdog is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
* Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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The 2009-2010 Houston Rockets will begin the NBA season without All-Stars Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming. McGrady, who is still recovering from knee and shoulder surgeries, is expected to return sometime during the season. Yao Ming has a broken left foot that was once characterized as career-threatening and will probably miss the entire season.
Without Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady to anchor their half-court offense the Houston Rockets will probably play at a faster pace than they have recently. The speed of point guard Aaron Brooks and the athleticism of off-season acquisition Trevor Ariza will help the Rockets get their fair share of fast break opportunities. Even though they will play faster offensively the Houston Rockets will remain a focused and tough defensive team under the tutelage of Coach Rick Adelman.
Here are game-by-game predictions for the 2009-2010 Houston Rockets:
Game 1, Tuesday, October 27th at Portland- Rockets open the season with a loss to the Portland Trail Blazers (Record 0-1).
Game 2, Wednesday, October 28th at Golden State- Rockets use their defense to slow down the fast-paced Warriors and get the win (Record 1-1).
Game 3, Saturday, October 31st versus Trail Blazers- Rockets have a creepy home opener as they to Portland for the second time in the early going (Record 1-2).
Game 4, Monday, November 2nd at Utah- Rockets lose a physical match up to the Utah Jazz (Record 1-3).
Game 5, Wednesday, November 4th versus Lakers- Rockets lose to the defending NBA Champion Los Angeles Lakers (Record 1-4).
Game 6, Friday, November 6th versus Thunder- Rockets defeat young Oklahoma City Thunder (2-4).
Game 7, Tuesday, November 10th at Dallas- Rockets drop a close game to the Dallas Mavericks (Record 2-5).
Game 8, Wednesday, November 11th versus Grizzlies- Rockets get a much needed win over the Memphis Grizzlies (Record 3-5).
Game 9, Friday, November 13th at Sacramento- Rockets win their second game in a row by defeating the Sacramento Kings (Record 4-5).
Game 10, Sunday, November 15th at Los Angeles Lakers- Rockets drop another game to the Lakers (Record 4-6).
Game 11, Tuesday, November 17th versus Suns- Rockets get a home win over the visiting Phoenix Suns (Record 5-6).
Game 12, Wednesday, November 18th at Minnesota- Rockets get back to .500 with a win over the Minnesota Timberwolves (Record 6-6).
Game 13, Friday, November 20th at Atlanta- Rockets lose a close game to the Atlanta Hawks (Rockets 6-7).
Game 14, Saturday, November 21st versus Kings- Rockets get another victory over the Sacramento Kings (Record 7-7).
Game 15, Wednesday, November 25th versus Mavericks- Rockets lose to the Dallas Mavericks again (Record 7-8).
Game 16, Friday, November 27th versus Spurs- Rockets close out a disappointing 1-2 home stand with a loss to the San Antonio Spurs (Record 7-9).
Game 17, Sunday, November 29th at Oklahoma City- Rockets lose to the Thunder dropping their third consecutive game (Record 7-10).
Game 18, Wednesday, December 2nd at Los Angeles Clippers- Rockets beat the Clippers at the Staples Center (Record 8-10).
Game 19, Thursday, December 3rd at Golden State- Rockets get a road win over the Warriors (Record 9-10).
Game 20, Saturday, December 5th at Portland- Rockets win a hotly contested game against the Trail Blazers and close out a four-game road trip of the season (Record 10-10).
Game 21, Wednesday, December 9th versus Cavaliers- Rockets fail to get their fourth win in a row as they lose to the Cleveland Cavaliers (Record 10-11).
Game 22, Friday, December 11th at Philadelphia- Rockets fall to the Philadelphia 76ers for the fifth time in a row (Record 10-12).
Game 23, Sunday, December 13th at Toronto- Rockets fall to the Toronto Raptors dropping their third consecutive game (Record 10-13).
Game 24, Tuesday, December 15th versus Pistons- Rockets get a home win over the Detroit Pistons at the Toyota Center (Record 11-13).
Game 25, Wednesday, December 16th at Denver- Rockets lose to the Denver Nuggets in the second game of a back-to-back (Record 11-14).
Game 26, Friday, December 18th at Dallas- Rockets fail to make the necessary plays to close out the game and fall to the Dallas Mavericks (Record 11-15).
Game 27, Saturday, December 19th versus Thunder- Rockets defend much better than the Oklahoma City Thunder and get the win (Record 12-15).
Game 28, Tuesday, December 22nd versus Clippers- Rockets defeat the Clippers and sweep a short two-game home stand (Record 13-15).
Game 29, Wednesday, December 23rd at Orlando- Rockets drop the second game of a back-to-back to the Orlando Magic (Record 13-16).
Game 30, Saturday, December 26th at New Jersey- Rockets outplay the New Jersey Nets for the win (Record 14-16).
Game 31, Sunday, December 27th at Cleveland- Rockets drop a road game to the Cavaliers (Record 14-17).
Game 32, Tuesday, December 29th versus Hornets- Rockets drop a close game to divisional rival New Orleans Hornets (Record 14-18).
Game 33, Thursday, December 31st versus Maverick- Rockets lose to the Dallas Mavericks and fall five games below .500 (Record 14-19).
Game 34, Saturday, January 2nd 2010 at New Orleans- Rockets get a win over the Hornets to avenge a loss they suffered just days earlier (Record 15-19).
Game 35, Tuesday, January 5th at Los Angeles Lakers- Rockets fall to the Lakers once again (Record 15-20).
Game 36, Wednesday, January 6th at Phoenix- Rockets allow the Suns to run and lose the game by double digits (Record 15-21).
Game 37, Saturday, January 9th versus Knicks- Rockets get a home win over the New York Knicks (Record 16-21).
Game 38, Tuesday, January 12th at Charlotte- Rockets get a road win over the Charlotte Bobcats (Record 17-21).
Game 39, Wednesday, January 13th versus Timberwolves- Rockets defeat the Minnesota Timberwolves and get their third straight victory (Record 18-21).
Game 40, Friday, January 15th versus Heat- Rockets fail to contain Dwyane Wade in the fourth quarter and drop a game to the Miami Heat (Record 18-22).
Game 41, Monday, January 18th versus Bucks- Rockets beat the Milwaukee Bucks to complete a 2-1 home stand (Record 19-22).
Game 42, Friday, January 22nd at San Antonio- Rockets drop a road game to divisional rival San Antonio Spurs (Record 19-23).
Game 43, Saturday, January 23rd versus Bulls- Rockets win a competitive match up against the Chicago Bulls (Record 20-23).
Game 44, Monday, January 25th versus Hawks- Rockets pick up another win over an Eastern Conference opponent as they defeat the Atlanta Hawks (Record 21-23).
Game 45, Wednesday, January 27th versus Nuggets- Rockets get their fourth consecutive home win with a victory over the Denver Nuggets (Record 22-23).
Game 46, Friday, January 29th versus Trail Blazers- Rockets fail to get back to .500 as they fall to the Portland Trail Blazers (Record 22-24).
Game 47, Sunday, January 31st versus Suns- Rockets lose a close game to the Phoenix Suns in a high-scoring affair (Record 22-25).
Game 48, Tuesday, February 2nd versus Warriors- Rockets close out a successful 4-2 home stand with a win over the Golden State Warriors (Record 23-25).
Game 49, Friday, February 5th at Memphis- Rockets use the momentum they built at home to defeat the Memphis Grizzlies on the road (Record 24-25).
Game 50, Saturday, February 6th versus Philadelphia- Rockets drop the second game of a back-to-back in a loss to the Sixers (Record 24-26).
Game 51, Tuesday, February 9th at Miami- Rockets go into the All-Star Break with a win over the Miami Heat (Record 25-26).
Game 52, Tuesday, February 16th versus Jazz- Rockets open the second half of the season with a home win over the Utah Jazz to get back to .500 (Record 26-26).
Game 53, Wednesday, February 17th at Milwaukee- Rockets get over .500 for the first time this season with a victory over the Milwaukee Bucks (Record 27-26).
Game 54, Saturday, February 20th versus Pacers- Rockets stretch their streak to four by defeating the Indiana Pacers (Record 28-26).
Game 55, Sunday, February 21st at New Orleans- Rockets drop a road game to the Hornets (Record 28-27).
Game 56, Wednesday, February 24th versus Magic- Rockets lose a home game to the Orlando Magic (Record 28-28).
Game 57, Friday, February 26th versus Spurs- Rockets defeat the San Antonio Spurs and avoid a three-game losing streak (Record 29-28).
Game 58, Saturday, February 27th at Utah- Rockets get their 30th win of the season by defeating the Utah Jazz (Record 30-28).
Game 59, Monday, March 1st versus Raptors- Rockets begin March with a win over the Toronto Raptors (Record 31-28).
Game 60, Wednesday, March 3rd versus Kings- Rockets continue to roll with a win over the Sacramento Kings (Record 32-28).
Game 61, Saturday, March 6th at Minnesota- Rockets streak comes to an end in a loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves (Record 32-29).
Game 62, Sunday, March 7th at Detroit- Rockets lose to the Pistons at the Palace dropping their second road game in a row (Record 32-30).
Game 63, Tuesday, March 9th at Washington- Rockets avoid a winless road trip by eking out a win against the Washington Wizards (Record 33-30).
Game 64, Saturday, March 13th versus Nets- Rockets defeat the New Jersey Nets to open a four-game home stand (Record 34-30).
Game 65, Monday, March 15th versus Nuggets- Rockets lose a physical battle to the Denver Nuggets (Record 34-31).
Game 66, Wednesday, March 17th versus Grizzlies- Rockets get back on track with a win over the Memphis Grizzlies (Record 35-31).
Game 67, Friday, March 19th versus Celtics- Rockets fall to the Boston Celtics to close out a 2-2 home stand (Record 35-32).
Game 68, Sunday, March 21st at New York- Rockets start a short road trip with a win over the Knicks at Madison Square Garden (Record 36-32).
Game 69, Monday, March 22nd at Chicago- Rockets lose to the Bulls dropping the second half of a back-to-back (Record 36-33).
Game 70, Wednesday, March 24th at Oklahoma City- Rockets beat Thunder at the Ford Center (Record 37-33).
Game 71, Thursday, March 25th versus Clippers- Rockets lose to the visiting Los Angeles Clippers (Record 37-34).
Game 72, Saturday, March 27th versus Lakers- Rockets fall to Los Angeles again (Record 37-35).
Game 73, Tuesday, March 30th versus Wizards- Rockets get a home win against the Washington Wizards (Record 38-35).
Game 74, Wednesday, March 31st at San Antonio- Rockets fall to the Spurs and lose the season series 1-3 (Record 38-36).
Game 75, Friday, April 2nd at Boston- Rockets suffer another road loss as they fall to the Boston Celtics (Record 38-37).
Game 76, Sunday, April 4th at Indiana- Rockets rebound to get a tough win over the Indiana Pacers (Record 39-37).
Game 77, Tuesday, April 6th at Memphis- Rockets outplay the young Grizzlies for their 40th victory (Record 40-37).
Game 78, Wednesday, April 7th versus Jazz- Rockets get a home win over the Utah Jazz (Record 41-37).
Game 79, Friday, April 9th versus Bobcats- Rockets get their 4th consecutive win with a victory over the Charlotte Bobcats (Record 42-37).
Game 80, Sunday, April 11th at Phoenix- Rockets lose a close game to the Suns (Record 42-38).
Game 81, Monday, April 12th at Sacramento- Rockets drop both games of a back-to-back as the follow up a loss to the Suns with a loss to the Kings (Record 42-39).
Game 82, Wednesday, April 14th versus Hornets- Rockets defeat New Orleans to earn a 2-2 season series split (Final Record 43-39).
Prediction: After three consecutive 50-win seasons the Houston Rockets will fall well short of that mark this year. However, the 2009-2010 Rockets will compete and work hard every single game. Opponents will have to truly earn each win they get against the Rockets.
Click here for more 2009-2010 season predictions.
Information from ESPN.com and NBA.com was used for this article.

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